Marble Falls Market Heat Score: What the Data Says

Is the Marble Falls market cooling down? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for this city reflects a shift toward buyer conditions over the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026. This composite index weighs days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions to gauge current momentum. The data shows median closed prices at $327,698 across 96 sales, down 22.7% from the same period last year when the median was $424,000. While prices have softened, homes are selling faster than they were a year ago; the median days on market dropped to 71 days, a 5.3% improvement over the prior year's 75 days. However, the current inventory of 115 active listings creates a 7.1-month supply, indicating a distinct shift away from the tight seller's markets seen previously. Buyers are finding more leverage as well. The median close-to-original list ratio stands at 0.926, meaning homes sold for roughly 92.6% of their original asking price on average. This is an improvement over the prior six-month period where the ratio was 0.901. Additionally, 93.8% of closed sales finished below the original list price, a significant increase from the 85.1% recorded in the same window last year. The ALEX Intelligence model calculates this heat score by normalizing these four key indicators against historical baselines for the region. A lower score suggests a balanced to slightly buyer-favorable environment where negotiation room exists, but demand remains present enough to move inventory within two months on average. This analysis is grounded in 96 closed sales and does not predict future price movements. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog