| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
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Marble Falls Entry-Level Homes: Affordability Check
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-03
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $290,000
321 Southridge TRL, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #8216325
Listed at $258,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,968 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186868969/321-Southridge-TRL-Marble-Falls-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $290,000 to $340,000
220 Standing Rock LN, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #1587043
Listed at $319,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,805 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189974348/220-Standing-Rock-LN-Marble-Falls-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $340,000 to $504,000
204 Lone Cedar RD, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #4034898
Listed at $449,900, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,098 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187714972/204-Lone-Cedar-RD-Marble-Falls-TX
Upper quartile: $504,000 and up
103 Palmie LN, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #9125207
Listed at $1,250,000, 3 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,400 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1159127286/103-Palmie-LN-Marble-Falls-TX
Key figures · Marble Falls · rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026
- 96 homes sold in Marble Falls in the 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026 (down 5.9% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $333,570 (down 23.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $182.
- Median days on market: 63.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.7%.
- 120 homes for sale now, about 7.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does it take to buy an entry-level home in Marble Falls today? With a median closing price of $333,570 across 96 sales in the rolling six months ending October 31, 2026, affordability remains a key consideration for buyers facing current mortgage rates.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the bottom quartile of recent sales to define entry-level pricing and modeled payment scenarios using the median price and a 20% down payment at the prevailing rate from Freddie Mac. At this price point, the principal and interest payment on a standard 30-year fixed loan is approximately $1,819 per month.
To put that in perspective, a 3-2-1 buydown could lower the initial rate significantly, reducing the first-year monthly payment to $1,311 and saving roughly $508 per month during year one. The total cost for such a buydown is estimated at $12,396, or about 3.7% of the median sale price. A 2-1 buydown offers a smaller reduction, with a total cost of $6,300.
While the median entry-level price has decreased by 1.9% compared to the prior six-month period, it remains 23.8% lower than the same window last year. The market shows 7.5 months of inventory, indicating a balanced environment where buyers have time to evaluate options without immediate pressure.
This analysis relies on ALEX Intelligence estimates based on historical sales data and current financing terms; it is not an appraisal or a guarantee of future rates.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling 6 months ending Oct 31, 2026, n=96
Cover photo: Marble Falls from U.S. 281 by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










