| George Arnold Alexander III, MPA |
| Partner, ALEX Companies |
| Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC |
| Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL |
| [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951 |
| TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice |
Elgin Market Heat Score: What the Data Shows in October
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-11-10
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $250,000
14505 Sage Bloom LN, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #9531615
Listed at $243,057, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,826 sq ft. Listed 19% below the ALEX valuation; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187980580/14505-Sage-Bloom-LN-Elgin-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $250,000 to $283,000
148 Gullivers DR, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #2074071
Listed at $275,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,567 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179369524/148-Gullivers-DR-Elgin-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $283,000 to $320,000
13424 Barn Chime ST, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #4781010
Listed at $309,990, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,596 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 26% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 6% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186759823/13424-Barn-Chime-ST-Elgin-TX
Upper quartile: $320,000 and up
1610 County Road 463, Elgin TX 78621 · MLS #8118552
Listed at $950,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,799 sq ft. Listed 22% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 21% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182523737/1610-County-Road-463-Elgin-TX
Key figures · Elgin · October 2026
- 40 homes sold in Elgin in October 2026 (up 11.1% on a year earlier).
- Median net sale price: $252,268 (down 14.1% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $150.
- Median days on market: 66.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 96.3%.
- 284 homes for sale now, about 5.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What does a median of 66 days on market mean for buyers and sellers in Elgin right now? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score synthesizes four key indicators—days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions—to produce a single gauge of local momentum. In October 2026, the score reflects a cooling trend compared to the previous month, driven by longer selling times and lower closing prices.
The composite index weighs median days on market at 35%, the close-to-list ratio at 30%, months of inventory at 20%, and the share of price cuts at 15%. With 66 days on market (up 3.1% from September) and a close-to-list ratio of 96.3%, homes are taking longer to sell and closing slightly below original list prices. Inventory stands at 5.13 months, indicating a shift toward buyer leverage, while 65% of closed sales fell below the original asking price.
This data-driven assessment shows that Elgin is currently in a balanced-to-slightly-buyer-favorable state. The median sale price dropped 7.7% month-over-month to $252,268, and the share of homes selling under list price decreased slightly compared to last year but remains high at 65%. These figures suggest that while demand persists, pricing discipline is critical for sellers in this market segment.
ALEX Intelligence estimates this score based on 40 closed sales in October 2026, providing a snapshot of current conditions without projecting future trends. The methodology ensures the score reflects actual transaction data rather than speculative sentiment.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, October 2026, n=40
Cover photo: Elgin Commercial Historic District by Renelibrary, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Partner, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov









