Bastrop Monthly Recap and Outlook: October 2026

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 157 Tahitian DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #5438160 · Listed by Berkshire Hathaway TX Realty. ALEX valuation $309,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $310,000 157 Tahitian DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #5438160 Listed at $289,900, 3 bed, 3 bath, 1,948 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 27% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189463237/157-Tahitian-DR-Bastrop-TX Lower-middle quartile: $310,000 to $380,000 137 E Pauwela LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #3134890 Listed at $375,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,810 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182523163/137-E-Pauwela-LN-Bastrop-TX Upper-middle quartile: $380,000 to $460,000 117 Keaau CT W, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #3160432 Listed at $419,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,183 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177032848/117-Keaau-CT-W-Bastrop-TX Upper quartile: $460,000 and up 108 Koolua DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #6474421 Listed at $574,900, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,350 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 10% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185294460/108-Koolua-DR-Bastrop-TX

Key figures · Bastrop · October 2026

47 homes sold in Bastrop in October 2026 (up 6.8% on a year earlier).

Median net sale price: $366,101 (up 1.0% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $177.

Median days on market: 95.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.1%.

296 homes for sale now, about 5.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, October 2026. Single-family homes; prices net of seller-paid concessions, the same figures as the ALEX market statistics pages. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

What does a median price of $366,101 with 95 days on market mean for buyers and sellers in Bastrop this month? The data from October 2026 shows a market where prices remained stable but activity slowed compared to the previous month. Across 47 closed sales, the median price dipped just 0.8% from September, while the number of homes sold fell by 6%. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the full dataset to highlight that time on market increased significantly. Homes took an average of 95 days to sell, a 43.9% jump from the prior month and slightly faster than the same time last year. Despite the longer wait, buyers still found deals; 83% of homes sold below their original list price, though this share decreased slightly compared to September. The supply side tells a different story. With 296 active listings and 47 closings, the market now holds 5.5 months of inventory. This shift suggests a move toward balance, giving buyers more leverage than earlier in the year. New construction remained a steady component, with 14 new homes closing out of the total volume. Looking at the broader picture over the last two years, October sales were up 6.8% compared to last year, even as prices rose just 1%. The median price per square foot dropped 7.6% from September, reflecting a mix of larger homes selling or price adjustments across the board. For those tracking affordability, current mortgage rates sit at 7.18%, impacting payment calculations for the typical $366,101 home. The market remains active but requires patience. With inventory rising and days on market extending, sellers may need to price competitively from the start, while buyers can expect more negotiation room than in previous months. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog

George Arnold Alexander III, MPA

Partner, ALEX Companies

Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC

Licensed Broker in TX, CO, NC, AL

[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951

TREC Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice