Bastrop Months of Inventory Signals Buyer Market

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 123 Kawainui LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #8042666 · Listed by Bramlett Partners. ALEX valuation $303,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $312,000 123 Kawainui LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #8042666 Listed at $285,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,673 sq ft. Listed 6% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186466555/123-Kawainui-LN-Bastrop-TX Lower-middle quartile: $312,000 to $375,000 220 Ulupau CIR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7922089 Listed at $350,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,755 sq ft. Listed 8% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183002651/220-Ulupau-CIR-Bastrop-TX Upper-middle quartile: $375,000 to $458,000 145 Haliimaile LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7655899 Listed at $388,444, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,990 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179030158/145-Haliimaile-LN-Bastrop-TX Upper quartile: $458,000 and up 116 Shore Front DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #4185112 Listed at $475,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,813 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1174540577/116-Shore-Front-DR-Bastrop-TX

Key figures · Bastrop · September 2026

50 homes sold in Bastrop in September 2026 (down 15.3% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $382,500 (up 10.7% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $195.

Median days on market: 58.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.1%.

305 homes for sale now, about 5.4 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Is the Bastrop housing market shifting toward buyers? With 5.4 months of inventory available as of late September 2026, the answer is yes. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace, calculated by dividing the 305 active homes on the market by the 50 closed sales recorded in September. Market analysts typically classify a market as balanced when inventory sits between four and six months. Bastrop currently sits at the upper end of this range, suggesting that buyers have more negotiating power than sellers. This is supported by the fact that 86% of homes sold below their original list price last month, compared to 91.5% in August. The median sale price for these 50 closed transactions was $382,500, a slight decrease of 0.6% from the prior month but up 10.7% compared to September 2025. While homes are selling slightly slower than last year with a median of 58 days on market versus 69 days previously, the supply is growing faster than demand. ALEX Intelligence classifies this as a buyer's market because inventory exceeds the six-month threshold often used for seller markets, yet remains within the balanced zone where prices are stable rather than surging. Buyers in Bastrop today can expect to find options and potentially negotiate on price, especially given that 305 homes are currently waiting for new owners. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Partner, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951