Travis County: How List Prices Compare to Final Sales in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-12
Deal of the Week

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 7301 Marywood CIR, Austin TX 78723 · MLS #3744736
Listed at $460,000, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,690 sq ft. Listed 21% below the ALEX valuation; 42% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178420584/7301-Marywood-CIR-Austin-TX
2. 8201 Greyhawk CV, Austin TX 78744 · MLS #1406813
Listed at $410,000, 5 bed, 5.5 bath, 3,219 sq ft. Listed 21% below the ALEX valuation; 57% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 25% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516462/8201-Greyhawk-CV-Austin-TX
3. 3629 Ruby Red DR, Austin TX 78728 · MLS #3202825
Listed at $385,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,012 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 35% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 19% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180028962/3629-Ruby-Red-DR-Austin-TX
4. 6011 Shoal Creek BLVD, Austin TX 78757 · MLS #9554641
Listed at $975,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,930 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; 52% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 22% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183071303/6011-Shoal-Creek-BLVD-Austin-TX
5. 6228 Adair DR, Austin TX 78754 · MLS #4313869
Listed at $275,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,670 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; 44% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182523611/6228-Adair-DR-Austin-TX
In Travis County, homes sold for an average of 94.2% of their original list price last month, down slightly from 94.6% in August. This metric, known as the list-to-sale price ratio, measures how close the final sale price is to the initial asking price. A ratio below 100% indicates that buyers negotiated a discount, while a ratio above 100% suggests bidding wars drove prices higher.
The current ratio of 0.942 reflects a market where sellers are accepting offers below their initial expectations in 84.2% of transactions. This is a shift from the same time last year, when the ratio was 0.922, meaning buyers are currently negotiating closer to list prices than they were twelve months ago. The median sale price for these 1,067 closed sales was $497,400, up 2.6% from September 2025.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the pricing trends across all price tiers to determine this ratio. While the overall average suggests a slight discount, individual subdivisions show varying levels of negotiation power. For instance, some neighborhoods saw sellers accepting full list price or more, while others required significant reductions to close. Understanding this ratio helps buyers and sellers set realistic expectations for listing prices and offers in the current market environment.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=1067
Cover photo: Highland Club Village, Marshall Ford, TX 78734, USA - panoramio.jpg by JAGarcia, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










