Travis County September Market Recap and Outlook

Travis County saw median home prices climb to $506,500 in September 2026, a 4.4% increase compared to the same month last year across 1,024 closed sales. While prices strengthened, transaction volume slowed, with 1,024 closings representing a 9.3% drop from September 2025 and a 12.9% decline from August 2026. The market absorbed 6,469 active listings, resulting in 4.87 months of inventory, indicating a balanced environment where supply meets demand without significant pressure on either side. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the data to show that homes are selling for slightly less relative to their original list price compared to last year. The median close-to-original list ratio stood at 94.1%, down from 92.2% in September 2025, while 84.2% of properties sold below their initial asking price. Days on market increased by 20.9% from the prior month to 52 days, though this remains 14.8% faster than the 61-day average seen in September 2025. New construction activity contributed significantly to the volume, with 197 new homes closing in September. The median living area for sold homes was 2,012 square feet, a slight decrease from the prior month but 2.3% larger than the same period last year. With mortgage rates at 7.4% as of October 8, 2026, buyers continue to navigate a market where price appreciation outpaces sales growth, suggesting steady demand despite higher borrowing costs. Thinking of selling in Travis County? Ask for a free ALEX Intelligence valuation of your home. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951