Travis County Market Heat Score: October 2026

Is Travis County cooling or simply normalizing after a busy summer? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for the region sits at 48 on a scale of 0 to 100, indicating a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. This composite index weighs four key factors: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. In August 2026, homes took a median of 42 days to sell, a 23.5% increase compared to the prior month but still 19.2% faster than the same period last year. The median sale price settled at $495,000, down 3.0% from July and 5.7% lower than August 2025. Sellers received 94.7% of their original list price on average, a slight dip from the prior month but an improvement over last year's 93.1%. Inventory remains tight with 6,442 active listings, creating 4.8 months of supply. While this is higher than the seller-favored threshold of under four months, it has not yet reached the levels that typically trigger a buyer's market. The heat score reflects a transition where homes are staying on the market longer and prices are adjusting downward slightly, but transaction volume remains robust with 1,127 closings in the month. The ALEX Intelligence estimate suggests that while the frenzy of previous years has subsided, the market retains enough activity to keep conditions stable for both sides. Buyers may find more negotiation room on homes listed over 30 days, while sellers should price competitively to avoid extended listing periods. This data-driven view replaces speculation with a clear snapshot of current supply and demand dynamics in Travis County. Want these numbers for your street? Email [email protected]. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951