Sun City Texas Market Heat Score: What the Data Says

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 108 Farm Hill DR, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #4484070 · Listed by Magnolia Realty Round Rock. ALEX valuation $276,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $322,000 108 Farm Hill DR, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #4484070 Listed at $270,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,328 sq ft. Listed 2% below the ALEX valuation; 6% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517179/108-Farm-Hill-DR-Georgetown-TX Lower-middle quartile: $322,000 to $393,000 915 Apache Mountain LN, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #2314819 Listed at $375,000, 2 bed, 2 bath, 1,712 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1176926010/915-Apache-Mountain-LN-Georgetown-TX Upper-middle quartile: $393,000 to $487,000 103 Black Walnut CIR, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #6765901 Listed at $478,000, 2 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,636 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 14% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1190419217/103-Black-Walnut-CIR-Georgetown-TX Upper quartile: $487,000 and up 509 Davis Mountain CIR, Georgetown TX 78633 · MLS #2659132 Listed at $574,950, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,853 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189583881/509-Davis-Mountain-CIR-Georgetown-TX

Key figures · Sun City Texas · September 2026

59 homes sold in Sun City Texas in September 2026 (unchanged on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $340,000 (down 11.7% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $214.

Median days on market: 53.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.7%.

119 homes for sale now, about 2.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Is Sun City Texas cooling down? The latest data suggests a shift in momentum. In September 2026, median home prices settled at $340,000 across 59 closed sales, marking a 11.7% decline compared to the same month last year. Simultaneously, homes took an average of 53 days to sell, which is 8.2% longer than in September 2025. ALEX Intelligence calculated a Market Heat Score for Sun City Texas by weighting four key indicators: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. This composite index ranges from 0 to 100, where higher scores indicate stronger seller demand and lower scores suggest a shift toward buyer leverage. The current metrics show increased time on market and a slight dip in the close-to-original list ratio to 94.7%. With 2.08 months of inventory available based on recent sales velocity, the market is moving away from the tight supply conditions seen earlier in the year. The heat score reflects this transition, indicating a balanced environment where neither buyers nor sellers hold a distinct advantage. This analysis relies strictly on the 59 closed transactions recorded in September 2026. While prices remain above the $340,000 level seen in recent months, the extended selling time suggests that pricing strategies must align more closely with current buyer expectations to achieve a sale within the typical 53-day window. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951