Pflugerville Market Heat Score: What the Data Says

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 406 Willow Wood DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #4502454 · Listed by Keller Williams Realty. ALEX valuation $323,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $335,000 406 Willow Wood DR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #4502454 Listed at $290,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,024 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 23% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184830438/406-Willow-Wood-DR-Pflugerville-TX Lower-middle quartile: $335,000 to $380,000 17910 YELLOW WARBLER WAY, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #9300677 Listed at $340,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,399 sq ft. Listed 11% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186198671/17910-YELLOW-WARBLER-WAY-Pflugerville-TX Upper-middle quartile: $380,000 to $462,000 3101 Fresh Spring RD, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #7525930 Listed at $425,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,934 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 22% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182781695/3101-Fresh-Spring-RD-Pflugerville-TX Upper quartile: $462,000 and up 20101 Chayton CIR, Pflugerville TX 78660 · MLS #9118539 Listed at $549,000, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,382 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183643282/20101-Chayton-CIR-Pflugerville-TX

Key figures · Pflugerville · September 2026

106 homes sold in Pflugerville in September 2026 (up 23.3% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $371,624 (down 6.8% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $194.

Median days on market: 58.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.6%.

567 homes for sale now, about 4.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Is a home in Pflugerville selling faster or slower than it did a year ago? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score answers this by combining four key metrics into a single index from 0 to 100. For September 2026, the score is 54, calculated using median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. The score reflects a balanced but cooling environment compared to last year. Homes spent an average of 58 days on the market, which is 17% faster than the 70 days seen in September 2025. However, sellers are accepting slightly lower offers relative to their original list price, with the median close-to-original ratio at 95.6%, up 3.4% from the prior year but still below the peak levels of previous years. Inventory remains a key factor in this score. With 567 active listings and 106 sales over the month, the market holds 4.5 months of supply. This level of inventory typically signals a shift toward buyer leverage, as homes are not moving as quickly as they did during the tightest market conditions. Additionally, 76.4% of homes sold below their original list price, a figure that has improved slightly from last year but indicates that price reductions remain common. ALEX Intelligence assigns weights to these four components to generate the composite score. A score near 50 suggests a transition zone where neither buyers nor sellers have a dominant advantage. While prices per square foot rose 11.5% from the prior month, the overall heat index shows that momentum has slowed compared to the aggressive pace of late 2024 and early 2025. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951