Marble Falls New Listings vs. Closings: The Supply Gap

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 116 Standing Rock LN, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #3768604 · Listed by All City Real Estate Ltd. Co. ALEX valuation $255,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $291,000 116 Standing Rock LN, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #3768604 Listed at $255,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,440 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182590716/116-Standing-Rock-LN-Marble-Falls-TX Lower-middle quartile: $291,000 to $340,000 413 Hailstone LN, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #7965839 Listed at $304,499, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,060 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189698009/413-Hailstone-LN-Marble-Falls-TX Upper-middle quartile: $340,000 to $506,000 1403 Sunset DR, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #4107322 Listed at $375,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,696 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 19% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189342944/1403-Sunset-DR-Marble-Falls-TX Upper quartile: $506,000 and up 2500 County Road 403, Marble Falls TX 78654 · MLS #1397499 Listed at $1,036,000, 4 bed, 4 bath, 3,317 sq ft. Listed 26% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177348491/2500-County-Road-403-Marble-Falls-TX

Key figures · Marble Falls · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

97 homes sold in Marble Falls in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (down 3.0% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $325,395 (down 21.7% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $177.

Median days on market: 60.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 92.7%.

126 homes for sale now, about 7.6 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Marble Falls is seeing a shift in supply dynamics as new listings outpace closings over the last six months. In the rolling period ending September 30, 2026, 141 new homes hit the market compared to 97 that closed. This represents an increase in new inventory relative to the prior six-month window, where only 102 new listings were recorded against 98 closings. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the supply gap by comparing monthly inflows of new listings against monthly outflows of closed sales. The data shows that while the number of homes sold dropped slightly from 98 to 97, the influx of new properties grew significantly. This divergence suggests a growing inventory pool for buyers, even as transaction volumes remain relatively stable. The median price for these 97 closed sales was $325,395, down 6.6% from the prior six-month period. Meanwhile, the median days on market shortened to 60 days, a 28.6% improvement over the previous window, indicating that despite higher supply, homes are selling faster than before. The ratio of closed price to original list price also improved to 92.7%, up from 89.4%. This supply gap highlights a market where buyers have more choices without facing the same level of bidding competition seen in previous periods. The increase in new listings provides options across various price points, while the slight dip in median price reflects the balance between demand and the expanding inventory. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951