Lakeway Market Heat Score: What the Data Says

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 583 Rupen DR, Lakeway TX 78734 · MLS #1535471 · Listed by Advantage Austin Properties. ALEX valuation $469,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $593,000 583 Rupen DR, Lakeway TX 78734 · MLS #1535471 Listed at $475,000, 2 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,007 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188510259/583-Rupen-DR-Lakeway-TX Lower-middle quartile: $593,000 to $712,000 224 Hurst Creek RD, Lakeway TX 78734 · MLS #2748918 Listed at $699,995, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,888 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 13% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 5% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1188950274/224-Hurst-Creek-RD-Lakeway-TX Upper-middle quartile: $712,000 to $998,000 106 Confidence CV, Lakeway TX 78734 · MLS #5037081 Listed at $765,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 3,087 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 7% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182647688/106-Confidence-CV-Lakeway-TX Upper quartile: $998,000 and up 701 Echelon PL, Lakeway TX 78738 · MLS #9418996 Listed at $1,575,000, 5 bed, 4 bath, 4,330 sq ft. Listed 16% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 25% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182522679/701-Echelon-PL-Lakeway-TX

Key figures · Lakeway · September 2026

25 homes sold in Lakeway in September 2026 (up 13.6% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $675,000 (down 8.8% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $282.

Median days on market: 57.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.6%.

131 homes for sale now, about 4.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

How does the Lakeway market feel right now? The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score synthesizes four key indicators to answer that question for buyers and sellers. In September 2026, the score reflects a median of 57 days on market, a close-to-list ratio of 90.6%, an inventory level of 4.68 months, and a high rate of price reductions. The ALEX Intelligence composite index combines these metrics using fixed weights to generate a single number between zero and one hundred. A higher score indicates faster sales and stronger pricing power, while a lower score suggests more time on market and greater negotiation room. In Lakeway, the median days on market rose 35.7% compared to the prior month but remains 50% lower than the same period last year. The share of homes selling below original list price climbed to 92%, up from 82.1% previously. Inventory sits at 4.68 months, calculated by dividing the 131 active listings by the monthly closing rate of roughly 28 sales. This level suggests a balanced market leaning slightly toward buyers, as sellers are accepting lower offers to move homes within two months. The median close price of $675,000 is down 2.5% from August but remains competitive against the regional average of $407,250. This score is an ALEX Intelligence estimate based on current market activity and should not be treated as a prediction of future prices. It serves as a snapshot of the balance between supply and demand in Lakeway today. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951