Lakeway Market Heat Score: What the Data Says in October

Is the Lakeway market cooling or simply stabilizing? The latest ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score for October 2026 reflects a balanced market leaning slightly toward buyers. This composite index weighs four key factors: median days on market, sale-to-list price ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price reductions. In August 2026, homes spent a median of 43 days on the market across 27 closed sales. While this is down 25.9% compared to the same month last year, it represents a 10.3% increase from the prior month, suggesting listings are taking slightly longer to sell than in July. The median sale price reached $715,000, which is 6.7% higher than the previous month but remains 8.1% below the August 2025 peak of $778,030. Inventory remains a key driver of this score. With 132 active listings and 27 closings in the last month, the market holds 4.77 months of supply. This level is generally considered balanced but offers buyers more choice than a seller's market would. Additionally, 85.2% of homes sold below their original list price, a slight improvement from the 88% seen in July, though still higher than the 79.4% recorded last year. ALEX Intelligence calculates this score by normalizing these metrics against historical baselines to produce a single 0–100 index. A score in the mid-range suggests that while demand is present, buyers have room to negotiate. The market is neither overheating nor crashing; it is settling into a rhythm where price and time on market are closely aligned with current inventory levels. Want these numbers for your street? Email [email protected]. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951