Lago Vista: Median Price Drops 9.9% in September

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 20701 Camel Back ST, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #6398406 · Listed by eXp Realty, LLC. ALEX valuation $336,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $340,000 20701 Camel Back ST, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #6398406 Listed at $334,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,759 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185888056/20701-Camel-Back-ST-Lago-Vista-TX Lower-middle quartile: $340,000 to $415,000 20900 Boggy Ford RD, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #2376259 Listed at $385,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,021 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186569376/20900-Boggy-Ford-RD-Lago-Vista-TX Upper-middle quartile: $415,000 to $600,000 3721 Firemans TRL, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #8879039 Listed at $495,000, 1 bed, 1 bath, 873 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 45% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519947/3721-Firemans-TRL-Lago-Vista-TX Upper quartile: $600,000 and up 3206 Marshall Ave, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #5601067 Listed at $849,000, 4 bed, 4 bath, 3,050 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172611549/3206-Marshall-Ave-Lago-Vista-TX

Key figures · Lago Vista · September 2026

12 homes sold in Lago Vista in September 2026 (down 50.0% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $378,500 (down 2.3% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $198.

Median days on market: 78.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.5%.

199 homes for sale now, about 6.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

What does a 9.9% drop in median price mean for the Lago Vista market? In September 2026, the median closed price settled at $378,500 across 12 sales, down from $420,000 in August. This marks a 2.3% decline compared to the same month last year when the median was $387,500. The pace of sales also shifted significantly. Homes spent an average of 78 days on market, up 21.9% from the prior month and 14.3% faster than the previous September. The ratio of final sale price to original list price dropped to 90.5%, indicating buyers negotiated more aggressively than in August when that figure stood at 95.6%. Inventory levels remain steady with 199 active listings, creating a months-of-supply balance of 6.71. While the market shows signs of cooling compared to the summer peak, the data reflects a normal adjustment rather than a crash. The median price per square foot also fell 11.6% month-over-month to $198, while the average home size sold shrank to 1,780 square feet from 2,162 in August. ALEX Intelligence analyzed these KPIs to highlight that September activity was driven by fewer transactions and lower price points compared to the prior month. With only 12 closed sales, the market remains sensitive to individual property conditions and pricing strategies. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951