Lago Vista: How Many Deals Fell Through in September?

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 20701 Camel Back ST, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #6398406 · Listed by eXp Realty, LLC. ALEX valuation $336,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $340,000 20701 Camel Back ST, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #6398406 Listed at $334,900, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,759 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 4% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185888056/20701-Camel-Back-ST-Lago-Vista-TX Lower-middle quartile: $340,000 to $415,000 20900 Boggy Ford RD, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #2376259 Listed at $385,000, 3 bed, 3 bath, 2,021 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1186569376/20900-Boggy-Ford-RD-Lago-Vista-TX Upper-middle quartile: $415,000 to $600,000 3721 Firemans TRL, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #8879039 Listed at $495,000, 1 bed, 1 bath, 873 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 45% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519947/3721-Firemans-TRL-Lago-Vista-TX Upper quartile: $600,000 and up 3206 Marshall Ave, Lago Vista TX 78645 · MLS #5601067 Listed at $849,000, 4 bed, 4 bath, 3,050 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 15% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172611549/3206-Marshall-Ave-Lago-Vista-TX

Key figures · Lago Vista · September 2026

12 homes sold in Lago Vista in September 2026 (down 50.0% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $378,500 (down 2.3% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $198.

Median days on market: 78.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 90.5%.

199 homes for sale now, about 6.7 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

In September 2026, four out of 24 contracts written in Lago Vista did not reach closing, returning properties to the active market. This metric tracks the share of deals that were under contract but ultimately failed to close, either by expiring or being withdrawn before the final transfer of title. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the status history of all contracts written in Lago Vista over the trailing 24 months to identify this trend. The data shows that while 12 homes successfully closed in September, an additional four properties returned to the active market after failing to close. This failure rate represents a significant portion of the local transaction pipeline for the month. The median days on market for closed sales was 78 days, up 21.9% from the prior month, suggesting that deals taking longer to finalize may face higher risks of falling through. The median sale price for these completed transactions was $378,500, down 9.9% from August. Understanding the back-on-market rate helps buyers and sellers gauge the reliability of current contracts. A rate where four out of 24 deals encounter a hurdle indicates that nearly one in six transactions faces a significant challenge. This analysis is based on actual contract status changes recorded in the Unlock MLS system for September 2026. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951