Kyle Market Heat Score: What the Data Says in October

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 305 Verano DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7336455 · Listed by One Stop Leasing & Prop Mgmt. ALEX valuation $273,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $270,000 305 Verano DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7336455 Listed at $250,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,668 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182548712/305-Verano-DR-Kyle-TX Lower-middle quartile: $270,000 to $319,000 133 Everglades DR, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #1043626 Listed at $288,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,179 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1179975176/133-Everglades-DR-Kyle-TX Upper-middle quartile: $319,000 to $390,000 179 Knots LNDG, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7168161 Listed at $335,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,218 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180697555/179-Knots-LNDG-Kyle-TX Upper quartile: $390,000 and up 164 Stock Pond TRL, Kyle TX 78640 · MLS #7653377 Listed at $529,164, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,741 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 3% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177814784/164-Stock-Pond-TRL-Kyle-TX

Key figures · Kyle · September 2026

89 homes sold in Kyle in September 2026 (down 29.4% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $299,999 (down 9.6% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $167.

Median days on market: 56.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.0%.

553 homes for sale now, about 4.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Kyle's market activity has cooled significantly in the latest reporting period, with a composite heat score reflecting shifting dynamics for buyers and sellers. The ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score aggregates four key indicators—median days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reduction frequency—to generate a single metric ranging from 0 to 100. In September 2026, the Kyle city market registered a median of 56 days on market across 89 closed sales, with prices dropping 7.4% compared to the prior month and falling 9.6% year-over-year. The composite index weighs these factors equally: time on market, price retention, supply availability, and listing adjustments. With 553 active homes currently listed, the months of inventory stands at 4.5, indicating a transition toward buyer leverage. The median close-to-original list ratio held at 0.95, while 86.5% of homes sold below their original asking price, a figure that has risen slightly from the prior period. This data-driven assessment suggests a market where patience is rewarded. Buyers are finding more negotiating power as sellers adjust expectations to match current demand. The score reflects a balanced-to-cool environment rather than a frenzied seller's market, with median prices settling at $299,999 after a summer peak. For those tracking the local economy, the heat score provides a clear snapshot of where Kyle stands relative to historical norms and neighboring regions. It is an estimate based on current MLS activity, not a prediction of future price movements. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951