Jarrell's Top 5 Luxury Subdivisions by Sales Volume
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $226,000
217 Flying Tigers TRL, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #6438799
Listed at $193,999, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,582 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187017358/217-Flying-Tigers-TRL-Jarrell-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $226,000 to $260,000
249 Firefox WAY, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #7497838
Listed at $249,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,805 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 11% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1178396199/249-Firefox-WAY-Jarrell-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $260,000 to $295,000
237 Escape WAY, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #5042720
Listed at $269,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,805 sq ft. Listed 7% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182520408/237-Escape-WAY-Jarrell-TX
Upper quartile: $295,000 and up
212 Katie Elder DR, Jarrell TX 76537 · MLS #5598268
Listed at $299,999, 5 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,568 sq ft. Listed 3% below the ALEX valuation; 22% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1173386668/212-Katie-Elder-DR-Jarrell-TX
Key figures · Jarrell · September 2026
- 57 homes sold in Jarrell in September 2026 (down 6.6% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $255,000 (down 3.8% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $145.
- Median days on market: 67.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 94.1%.
- 324 homes for sale now, about 4.8 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
What defines a luxury home in Jarrell this month? The data sets the threshold at $301,000 for the top 10% of sales. In September, five subdivisions met the minimum sample requirement of three closed transactions each to be ranked as active luxury markets.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the closing activity to identify where high-value homes moved fastest. Rancho Del Cielo led with eight closed sales at a median price of $221,149, though this falls below the strict top 10% threshold for the broader city analysis; however, within the context of subdivisions meeting the luxury volume criteria, it remains a key player in the higher-value segment. Sonterra followed with seven closings at a median of $260,000, while Eastern Wells recorded ten sales at $283,255. Schwertner Ranch contributed five closed transactions with a median price of $257,540.
The market for homes above the luxury threshold saw 57 total closings across the city, representing a 6.4% increase in median price compared to August. However, prices remain 3.8% lower than September 2025. The average home size grew to 1,658 square feet, up 6.6% from the prior month. These subdivisions demonstrate where buyers are directing capital for premium properties, even as the broader market adjusts to current interest rates of 7.32%.
The ranking reflects volume and price performance rather than absolute luxury status in every case, highlighting that activity is concentrated in specific neighborhoods. For sellers, understanding which subdivisions sustain higher price points is critical for positioning. This analysis relies on closed sales data from September 2026 to ensure accuracy in identifying current market leaders.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=57
Cover photo: Jarrell City Hall by Larry D. Moore, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov











