Horseshoe Bay: Is This a Buyer's Market?

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 104 Springfield, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2853973 · Listed by RE/MAX HORSESHOE BAY RESORT SA. ALEX valuation $388,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $435,000 104 Springfield, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2853973 Listed at $399,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,999 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517946/104-Springfield-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Lower-middle quartile: $435,000 to $728,000 100 W Up There, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #4924482 Listed at $515,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,471 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521222/100-W-Up-There-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper-middle quartile: $728,000 to $1,296,000 101 Third Sid W, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2379325 Listed at $1,200,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,442 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185658616/101-Third-Sid-W-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper quartile: $1,296,000 and up 111 Orange Plume, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #4141197 Listed at $2,995,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 5,389 sq ft. Listed 24% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177444638/111-Orange-Plume-Horseshoe-Bay-TX

Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

101 homes sold in Horseshoe Bay in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 6.3% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $785,000 (down 1.3% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $301.

Median days on market: 77.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.6%.

186 homes for sale now, about 11.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

How much time does a buyer actually have to find the right home? In Horseshoe Bay, the answer is plenty. The market currently holds 11.05 months of inventory based on 186 active listings and 101 closed sales over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current homes at the current sales pace if no new listings were added. Generally, a market with more than six months of inventory is classified as a buyer's market. With over 11 months available, buyers in Horseshoe Bay have substantial leverage compared to the balanced threshold. This abundance of supply has coincided with a median close price of $785,000 across 101 sales, which is down slightly from the same period last year but up 12.9% from the prior six-month window. The extended time on market supports this classification. Homes spent a median of 77 days on the market, a significant decrease of 40.8% compared to the prior period, yet still well above the typical seller's market pace. Additionally, 92.1% of homes sold below their original list price, indicating that negotiation power has shifted toward purchasers. ALEX Intelligence analyzes this inventory-to-sales ratio to determine market conditions. When months of inventory exceed six, the balance tips decisively in favor of buyers, allowing for more time and potentially better prices than in tighter markets. URL: https://alex.realestate/market/horseshoe-bay Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951