Horseshoe Bay Market Pulse: Prices Rise in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 104 Springfield, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2853973 · Listed by RE/MAX HORSESHOE BAY RESORT SA. ALEX valuation $388,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $435,000 104 Springfield, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2853973 Listed at $399,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,999 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517946/104-Springfield-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Lower-middle quartile: $435,000 to $728,000 100 W Up There, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #4924482 Listed at $515,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,471 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521222/100-W-Up-There-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper-middle quartile: $728,000 to $1,296,000 101 Third Sid W, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2379325 Listed at $1,200,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,442 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185658616/101-Third-Sid-W-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper quartile: $1,296,000 and up 111 Orange Plume, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #4141197 Listed at $2,995,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 5,389 sq ft. Listed 24% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177444638/111-Orange-Plume-Horseshoe-Bay-TX

Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

101 homes sold in Horseshoe Bay in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 6.3% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $785,000 (down 1.3% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $301.

Median days on market: 77.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.6%.

187 homes for sale now, about 11.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Horseshoe Bay home prices climbed 12.9% over the prior six-month period, reaching a median of $785,000 across 101 closed sales in the rolling window ending September 30, 2026. This represents a shift from the previous period where the median was $695,000, though prices remain 1.3% below the same six-month window last year when the median hit $795,000. The market is also showing signs of increased efficiency. The median days on market dropped to 77 days, a 40.8% decrease compared to the prior period where homes sat for 130 days. This suggests properties are moving faster now than they did six months ago, even as the median price per square foot fell 9.6% to $301. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the closing data to determine that sellers are accepting slightly less relative to their original list prices. The median close-to-original list ratio is 0.916, meaning homes sold for an average of 91.6% of the asking price. This ratio has dipped slightly compared to the prior period and remains lower than the same window last year. With 187 active listings currently on the market and 101 sales over the last six months, the area holds approximately 11.1 months of inventory. This volume indicates a buyer's market environment where supply exceeds immediate demand. The median living area for sold homes increased to 2,529 square feet, up 5.1% from the prior period. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.32% according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week of October 22, 2026. This rate environment influences buyer purchasing power and payment structures in the current market. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951