Horseshoe Bay: Six-Month Market Recap and Outlook

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 104 Springfield, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2853973 · Listed by RE/MAX HORSESHOE BAY RESORT SA. ALEX valuation $388,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $435,000 104 Springfield, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2853973 Listed at $399,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,999 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 3% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517946/104-Springfield-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Lower-middle quartile: $435,000 to $728,000 100 W Up There, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #4924482 Listed at $515,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 2,471 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 34% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521222/100-W-Up-There-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper-middle quartile: $728,000 to $1,296,000 101 Third Sid W, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #2379325 Listed at $1,200,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,442 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 20% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1185658616/101-Third-Sid-W-Horseshoe-Bay-TX Upper quartile: $1,296,000 and up 111 Orange Plume, Horseshoe Bay TX 78657 · MLS #4141197 Listed at $2,995,000, 4 bed, 4.5 bath, 5,389 sq ft. Listed 24% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177444638/111-Orange-Plume-Horseshoe-Bay-TX

Key figures · Horseshoe Bay · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

101 homes sold in Horseshoe Bay in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 6.3% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $785,000 (down 1.3% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $301.

Median days on market: 77.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 91.6%.

187 homes for sale now, about 11.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

Horseshoe Bay saw median prices climb to $785,000 across 101 closed sales in the rolling six months ending September 2026. This represents a 12.9% increase compared to the prior six-month period, while remaining just 1.3% below the same window last year. The market also accelerated significantly, with homes spending an average of 77 days on market, down 40.8% from the previous six months and only 1.3% lower than a year ago. The pace of sales activity has strengthened, with 101 closings in the last half-year compared to 70 in the prior period. New construction accounted for 18 of these sales, maintaining a steady presence alongside existing homes. The median living area grew to 2,529 square feet, up 5.1% from the prior six months, indicating buyers are continuing to seek larger footprints. Inventory remains a key factor, with 187 active listings today creating an estimated 11.11 months of supply based on current sales rates. This level suggests a buyer-favorable environment where negotiation leverage is present. The median price per square foot settled at $301, down 9.6% from the prior period as larger homes entered the market. Looking ahead, the data indicates a market that has stabilized after periods of volatility. While prices have recovered to near-year-ago levels, the faster sales velocity and increased inventory suggest a balanced but active environment for both buyers and sellers in the coming months. Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951