Horseshoe Bay: New Listings Outpace Closings in Rolling Six Months

In Horseshoe Bay, new inventory is flowing into the market faster than homes are selling. Over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026, 177 new listings were added while only 101 properties closed. This gap between supply and demand signals a shift in market dynamics compared to the prior six-month window. ALEX Intelligence analyzed the dual-axis trend of new listings versus closings to quantify this imbalance. The data shows that new listing volume rose significantly, reaching 177 compared to just 103 in the previous period. Meanwhile, closed sales increased from 70 to 101 transactions. This divergence means the market is absorbing inventory at a slower rate than it is being introduced. The median price for these 101 closed sales reached $785,000, up 12.9% from the prior six-month period. However, the median days on market dropped sharply by 40.8% to 77 days, indicating that while homes are selling faster than before, the sheer volume of new arrivals is outpacing buyer absorption. For sellers, this environment suggests a need for strategic pricing as competition intensifies. For buyers, the growing inventory provides more options but requires vigilance regarding price reductions, which occurred on 92.1% of sales in this window. The supply gap remains a defining feature of the current Horseshoe Bay market. Shopping in Horseshoe Bay? Tell us what you want and we'll send matching homes as they list. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951