Horseshoe Bay: Months of Inventory Signal Buyer Market
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-09
How many months of homes are available for sale relative to current sales pace? In Horseshoe Bay, the answer is 11.1 months based on 187 active listings and 101 closed sales over the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026. This figure indicates a distinct buyer's market, where inventory levels significantly exceed the typical threshold for balanced conditions.
ALEX Intelligence calculates this metric by dividing the total number of active homes on the market by the average monthly sales volume. A reading above six months generally favors buyers, while below four months favors sellers. The current 11.1-month supply suggests ample choice and reduced competition for purchasers.
This surplus aligns with other data points showing increased time on market compared to the prior period. Median days on market dropped 40.8% year-over-year but remain high at 77 days, reflecting the time needed to move inventory in this environment. Additionally, 92.1% of homes sold below their original list price, a trend consistent with elevated supply levels.
While median closed prices rose 12.9% from the prior six-month period to $785,000, the abundance of options allows buyers to negotiate more effectively. The market remains active with 101 sales, but the ratio of supply to demand clearly shifts leverage toward those looking to buy.
https://alex.realestate/market/horseshoe-bay
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Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=101
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




