Horseshoe Bay: List-to-Sale Ratios Drop in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-08
What does a 92.3% list-to-sale ratio mean for buyers and sellers in Horseshoe Bay? This metric compares the final closing price to the original listing price, showing how much of the asking price homes actually fetch. In the rolling six months ending August 31, 2026, the median sale price was $675,000 across 99 closed sales, down 12.9% from the prior six-month period.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to track this trend. The median close-to-original list ratio stood at 0.923, or 92.3%, which is a slight decrease of 0.1% compared to the prior period and 1.1% lower than the same window last year. This indicates that while homes are selling for slightly less relative to their initial asking price, the gap has remained relatively stable over time.
The data also shows that 91.9% of these sales closed below the original list price, a share that increased by 5.6% compared to the prior period. The median price per square foot dropped to $290, down 19.7% from the previous six months. With 186 active listings and 99 closings in this window, the market reflects a shift where buyers have more leverage to negotiate below the initial asking price.
This analysis is based on 99 closed sales in the rolling six-month window. The median days on market was 74 days, down significantly from 138 days in the prior period. These figures represent actual transaction outcomes rather than appraisals or forecasts.
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Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, rolling six months ending Aug 31, 2026, n=99
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




