Horseshoe Bay Market Recap: Prices Dip as Sales Slow in Rolling Six Months

Median home prices in Horseshoe Bay dropped to $675,000 over the rolling six months ending August 31, 2026, down 12.9% from the prior period and 8.9% below the same window last year. This analysis covers 99 closed sales, a volume that exceeds the minimum threshold for reliable monthly reporting in this Tier B market. The pace of transactions also slowed significantly compared to the previous six-month window. While 99 homes sold in the current period, only 69 had closed in the prior six months. However, when compared to the same period last year, sales volume increased slightly, with 88 closings recorded previously. The median price per square foot fell 19.7% to $290, reflecting a shift toward lower-priced inventory or adjustments in home size, as the median living area shrank by 3.4%. Days on market improved notably, dropping 46.4% to a median of 74 days compared to 138 days in the prior period. This suggests that while prices are correcting, homes that do sell are moving faster than they did earlier this year. The list-to-sale price ratio remained stable at 92.3%, with 91.9% of homes selling below their original list price. Inventory levels remain elevated with 186 active listings today, creating a buyer-friendly environment. ALEX Intelligence estimates that the current market conditions favor buyers seeking value in this lakefront community. The data indicates a period of adjustment where prices are stabilizing at lower levels while transaction speed recovers from earlier slowdowns. Curious what your Horseshoe Bay home would sell for today? Request a free ALEX Intelligence valuation. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951