Horseshoe Bay Market Heat Score: A Deep Dive into October 2026

What does a market heat score of 42 mean for buyers and sellers in Horseshoe Bay? This composite index, calculated by ALEX Intelligence using weighted factors for days on market, sale-to-list ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions, indicates a balanced but cooling market. The score ranges from 0 to 100, where higher numbers signal stronger seller conditions and lower numbers suggest more buyer leverage. Over the rolling six months ending August 31, 2026, 99 homes sold with a median price of $675,000. This represents a 12.9% decrease compared to the prior six-month period and an 8.9% drop from the same window last year. The median days on market has improved significantly, falling 46.4% to 74 days, suggesting properties are moving faster than they were earlier in the year, though this remains well above the regional average of 45 days. Inventory levels remain elevated with 11.39 months of supply currently available, a figure that typically favors buyers. While 92.3% of homes sold for at least their original list price on average, nearly 92% of all transactions closed below the initial asking price, indicating active negotiation. The ALEX Intelligence model weights these metrics to determine that while activity is present, the market lacks the urgency of a traditional seller's environment. Current mortgage rates stand at 7.28%, according to the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey for the week of October 1, 2026. This rate environment continues to influence buyer purchasing power and transaction velocity. The combination of lower prices, higher inventory, and extended selling times results in a score that reflects a market where patience is rewarded. Want these numbers for your street? Email [email protected]. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951