Guadalupe County: Is This a Buyer's Market?

How many months of inventory does it take to tip the balance toward buyers? In Guadalupe County, the answer is 8.09 months based on the rolling six-month period ending September 30, 2026. This figure represents the time required to sell all current active listings at the current sales pace, calculated by dividing today's 120 active homes by the average monthly closings of roughly 15 homes over the last half-year. Market analysts classify a market as balanced when inventory sits between four and six months. Anything above six months indicates a buyer's market, where supply outstrips demand. With 8.09 months available, Guadalupe County currently favors buyers. This surplus gives purchasers more time to negotiate and fewer properties to compete for immediately. The data supports this shift. Median days on market have dropped significantly to 43 days compared to 59 days in the prior six-month period, yet the sheer volume of active listings keeps pressure on sellers. Additionally, 72.1% of homes sold below their original list price, a higher share than the 81.5% seen in the same window last year. ALEX Intelligence calculates this classification by comparing current inventory levels against historical sales velocity. While prices have risen 7.7% compared to the prior year, the extended time on market and high inventory count suggest that buyers hold the leverage in negotiations today. Shopping in Guadalupe County? Tell us what you want and we'll send matching homes as they list. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=86 closed sales
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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