Fredericksburg: Where Prices Were Cut Most in Rolling Six Months

Deal of the Week

Deal of the Week · 129 Alameda DR, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #9274710 · Listed by Keller Williams City-View. ALEX valuation $266,000 is an ALEX Intelligence estimate, not an appraisal.

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range. Lower quartile: under $422,000 129 Alameda DR, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #9274710 Listed at $269,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,167 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180546251/129-Alameda-DR-Fredericksburg-TX Lower-middle quartile: $422,000 to $595,000 162 Teal ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #5732042 Listed at $517,500, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,594 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 38% under the local price per sq ft. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519617/162-Teal-ST-Fredericksburg-TX Upper-middle quartile: $595,000 to $1,170,000 2143 Stone Oak, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6406024 Listed at $1,050,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,996 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182587983/2143-Stone-Oak-Fredericksburg-TX Upper quartile: $1,170,000 and up 502 N Orange ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6435110 Listed at $1,249,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,567 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 9% from original. See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516661/502-N-Orange-ST-Fredericksburg-TX

Key figures · Fredericksburg · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026

38 homes sold in Fredericksburg in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 18.8% on a year earlier).

Median sale price: $577,500 (down 26.2% on a year earlier).

Median price per square foot: $286.

Median days on market: 60.

Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.9%.

68 homes for sale now, about 10.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.

Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

In Fredericksburg, nearly nine out of ten homes sold for less than their original asking price over the past six months. ALEX Intelligence analyzed 38 closed sales to track how often sellers reduced their prices before finding a buyer. The data shows that 84% of transactions in this rolling window ended below the initial list price, up from 92.6% in the prior period but down from 90.6% at the same time last year. This trend reflects a shift in negotiation dynamics as inventory levels adjust. While the median sale price dropped 13.8% compared to the previous six-month period, the frequency of price reductions indicates that buyers have more leverage to negotiate. The average home sold for roughly 94% of its original list price, a slight improvement over the prior period but still below the 96.1% ratio seen a year ago. The market activity remains concentrated in specific areas. Only one subdivision met the minimum threshold for detailed analysis, with Friendship Oaks showing a 100% rate of price cuts across its five sales. This suggests that even within active neighborhoods, pricing strategies are being recalibrated to match current demand. As sellers adjust expectations, the gap between list and sale prices continues to define the local market rhythm. The data covers ABOR-listed sales only and does not represent the entire Fredericksburg market. Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing. Coverage: most home sales in Fredericksburg are listed in the Central Hill Country MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951