Fredericksburg: List-to-Sale Ratios in Rolling Six Months
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-15
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $422,000
129 Alameda DR, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #9274710
Listed at $269,900, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,167 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180546251/129-Alameda-DR-Fredericksburg-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $422,000 to $595,000
162 Teal ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #5732042
Listed at $517,500, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,594 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; 38% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519617/162-Teal-ST-Fredericksburg-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $595,000 to $1,170,000
2143 Stone Oak, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6406024
Listed at $1,050,000, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,996 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 8% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182587983/2143-Stone-Oak-Fredericksburg-TX
Upper quartile: $1,170,000 and up
502 N Orange ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6435110
Listed at $1,249,900, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,567 sq ft. The top-scoring home for sale here this week on price per sq ft, price changes and time on market; price reduced 9% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182516661/502-N-Orange-ST-Fredericksburg-TX
Key figures · Fredericksburg · rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026
- 38 homes sold in Fredericksburg in the 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026 (up 18.8% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $577,500 (down 26.2% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $286.
- Median days on market: 60.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 93.9%.
- 68 homes for sale now, about 10.5 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 6 months ending Sep 30, 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
How much of the asking price did buyers actually pay in Fredericksburg over the last six months? The data shows a median list-to-sale ratio of 93.9% across 38 closed sales, meaning homes sold for an average of 93.9 cents on every dollar listed. This figure represents the final negotiated price relative to the original listing price before any reductions.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to track this trend. The median ratio rose slightly to 0.939 compared to 0.923 in the prior six-month period, a 1.7% increase. However, when compared to the same window last year, the ratio stands at 0.961, reflecting a 2.3% decline from that time.
The data indicates that 84.2% of these homes sold below their original list price, down from 92.6% in the prior period. This suggests a slight shift in negotiation leverage, though prices still frequently fall short of initial asks. The median sale price for these transactions was $577,500, with a median price per square foot of $286.
This analysis covers all residential sales recorded in the ABOR system for Fredericksburg during the rolling six-month window ending September 30, 2026. The figures reflect actual closed transactions and do not include pending sales or new listings.
Want a closer look? Reply or call George at 713.918.9951 and we'll set up a showing.
Coverage: most home sales in Fredericksburg are listed in the Central Hill Country MLS, which ALEX does not receive yet. The figures in this post count only sales listed in Unlock MLS (ABOR), so they describe part of the local market, not all of it.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling six months ending Sep 30, 2026, n=38
Cover photo: Willow City Loop, Gillespie County ("Fredericksburg in the Texas Hill Country") by David, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










