Fredericksburg Seasonality: Best Month to List in the Hill Country
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-12
Deal of the Week
This week's 3 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 168 Teal ST, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #6502582
Listed at $505,000, 5 bed, 3 bath, 2,594 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 34% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182519649/168-Teal-ST-Fredericksburg-TX
2. 116 Bens BLF, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #8527797
Listed at $340,000, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,894 sq ft. Listed 0% below the ALEX valuation; 39% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182517187/116-Bens-BLF-Fredericksburg-TX
3. 208 Edgewood DR, Fredericksburg TX 78624 · MLS #4344552
Listed at $394,400, 3 bed, 2 bath, 2,230 sq ft. Listed 1% below the ALEX valuation; 40% under the local price per sq ft.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1189279098/208-Edgewood-DR-Fredericksburg-TX
What month offers the best chance to sell a home in Fredericksburg? A seasonal analysis of the last 24 months of closed sales reveals distinct patterns in both volume and pricing.
ALEX Intelligence applied seasonal decomposition to monthly closed sales data from October 2024 through September 2026 to identify trends. The data shows that late fall, specifically October and November, consistently delivers higher sales volumes compared to other times of the year. In October 2025, for example, 7 homes sold with a median price of $775,000, while November saw 6 sales at $612,500. These months outperformed the summer peak in September 2025, which had only 4 closed sales despite a high median price of $2,200,000 driven by a single luxury transaction.
Conversely, early spring and late winter show more volatility. January 2026 saw just two sales with a skewed median of nearly $2,941,250 due to one outlier, while February dropped to two sales at $499,720. The data suggests that listing in the cooler months of October through November may provide a more stable environment for sellers seeking consistent activity rather than relying on sporadic high-value outliers.
The analysis covers monthly closed sales from October 2024 through September 2026. While individual property factors matter, the seasonal trend indicates that late autumn offers the most reliable volume for Fredericksburg real estate transactions.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS, ABOR-listed sales only, rolling 24-month closed sales history ending September 2026
Cover photo: Fredericksburg in the Texas Hill Country.jpg by David, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov