Caldwell County Market Heat Score: A Cooling Trend in August

How does an 18.6% jump in median prices coexist with a cooling market? The answer lies in the ALEX Intelligence Market Heat Score, a composite index that weighs days on market, sale-to-list ratios, inventory levels, and price reductions to gauge local momentum. For Caldwell County in August 2026, this score indicates a shift toward buyer leverage despite rising values. The ALEX model assigns specific weights to key indicators: days on market (30%), sale-to-list ratio (25%), months of inventory (25%), and price reduction frequency (20%). In August, the median days on market jumped to 39 days from just 19 days a year ago, a 105.3% increase that heavily penalized the score. While the median close price rose 18.6% year-over-year to $270,000 across 37 closed sales, homes are taking significantly longer to sell. Inventory pressure is also visible. With 241 active listings and 37 closings in the month, the market holds nearly 6 months of supply, a level that typically favors buyers. The median close-to-original list ratio sat at 0.936, meaning homes sold for roughly 93.6% of their original asking price. Additionally, 86.5% of sales closed below the original list price, up from 83.3% a year ago. This combination of slower sales velocity and increased inventory has lowered the heat score, even as prices remain resilient. For sellers, this suggests that pricing strategy is now more critical than ever to compete in a market where buyers have more time to choose. The data reflects a transition from a rapid seller's market to a balanced environment where patience and accurate pricing drive success. Want these numbers for your street? Email [email protected]. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. View and join any or all of our communities — AI, quantum, and real estate: https://alex-companies.com/reports/linkedin-groups If there's an AI, quantum, or real estate community you'd like to see us convene, tell us — this portfolio grows by request. MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951