Burnet County Market Heat Score: What the Numbers Say
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-06
What does a market heat score of 38 out of 100 mean for Burnet County buyers and sellers in August 2026? This composite index, calculated by ALEX Intelligence using weighted factors for days on market, list-to-sale ratio, inventory levels, and price reductions, indicates a distinct shift toward buyer leverage. The score reflects a cooling trend where supply is outpacing demand compared to the previous month and the same period last year.
The data shows 77 closed sales with a median price of $350,000, down 16.7% from July and 15.7% from August 2025. Days on market have improved slightly to 64 days, yet the inventory level stands at 7.8 months, well above the six-month threshold that typically signals a balanced market. Furthermore, 94.8% of homes sold below their original list price, a significant increase from 90.5% in July and 84.9% a year ago.
ALEX Intelligence applied a weighted formula to these metrics: inventory dominance (30%), price reduction frequency (25%), days on market velocity (25%), and list-to-sale ratio strength (20%). The resulting score of 38 suggests that while transactions are occurring, sellers face more competition and buyers have greater negotiating power. This is not a crash, but a recalibration where the pace of sales has slowed relative to the number of active listings.
For those watching the Burnet County market, the heat score provides a clear snapshot: conditions favor buyers who can take their time, while sellers may need to price competitively from day one to avoid extended market exposure. The trend confirms that the window for rapid appreciation has narrowed in favor of stability and negotiation.
Want these numbers for your street? Email [email protected].
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, August 2026, n=77
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov




