Buda: How List Prices Compare to Final Sells in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-24
Deal of the Week

Deals of the Week by price quartile. The quartiles come from the last 12 months of closed sales here. Each pick has the top ALEX deal score in its price range.
Lower quartile: under $300,000
220 Nettletree DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #6228364
Listed at $299,000, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,036 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 11% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184468750/220-Nettletree-DR-Buda-TX
Lower-middle quartile: $300,000 to $350,000
13007 Cerulean Spring DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #3171381
Listed at $327,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,872 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 8% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 12% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177319234/13007-Cerulean-Spring-DR-Buda-TX
Upper-middle quartile: $350,000 to $420,000
635 Clarissa ST, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #3177463
Listed at $394,990, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,271 sq ft. Listed 5% below the ALEX valuation; 5% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182518886/635-Clarissa-ST-Buda-TX
Upper quartile: $420,000 and up
261 Callahan LOOP, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #2163932
Listed at $459,990, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,750 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 9% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 10% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180960925/261-Callahan-LOOP-Buda-TX
Key figures · Buda · September 2026
- 101 homes sold in Buda in September 2026 (up 1.0% on a year earlier).
- Median sale price: $335,000 (down 1.5% on a year earlier).
- Median price per square foot: $176.
- Median days on market: 44.
- Median sale price as a share of the original list price: 95.8%.
- 470 homes for sale now, about 5.1 months of supply at the pace of the last six months.
Source: Unlock MLS, September 2026. Homes only (single-family, condo, townhome). Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
In Buda, homes sold for an average of 95.8% of their original asking price in September. This figure represents the median close-to-original list ratio across 101 closed sales during the month. The metric indicates how closely final sale prices tracked initial listing prices before negotiations or adjustments.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices, final list prices, and closing prices to determine this trend. The data shows a slight improvement in the ratio compared to August, moving from 95.7% to 95.8%. However, the median close price of $335,000 remains 1.5% lower than the same month last year when homes sold for $339,995.
While the ratio suggests sellers are receiving nearly their full asking price on average, 86.1% of these transactions closed below the original list amount. This pattern reflects a market where initial pricing often includes negotiation room rather than indicating a lack of demand. The median price per square foot rose to $176, up 2.3% from August, even as the overall median price dipped.
For buyers and sellers, this ratio provides a baseline for realistic expectations. A 95.8% return on list price suggests that while homes are selling, final agreements frequently involve concessions or initial overpricing relative to the final agreed value. The data covers all residential sales in Buda recorded through September 2026.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, September 2026, n=101
Cover photo: Buda ("Buda Texas") by Liveon001 ©Travis Witt, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










