Buda Market Heat Score: Fast Sales, Lower Prices in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-12
Deal of the Week
This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 259 Clarence CT, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #4891291
Listed at $264,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,955 sq ft. Listed 22% below the ALEX valuation; 24% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 28% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184168883/259-Clarence-CT-Buda-TX
2. 325 San Saba DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #3542737
Listed at $499,999, 4 bed, 3.5 bath, 2,512 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 15% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 23% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1180665075/325-San-Saba-DR-Buda-TX
3. 139 Comfort DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #2040843
Listed at $489,999, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,180 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 4% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1177968034/139-Comfort-DR-Buda-TX
4. 287 San Saba DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #4266849
Listed at $549,999, 4 bed, 3 bath, 2,855 sq ft. Listed 4% below the ALEX valuation; 18% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 15% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1167998194/287-San-Saba-DR-Buda-TX
5. 13216 Desert Orchid DR, Buda TX 78610 · MLS #6720075
Listed at $239,000, 3 bed, 2 bath, 1,375 sq ft. Listed 14% below the ALEX valuation; price reduced 16% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1183701244/13216-Desert-Orchid-DR-Buda-TX
What does it mean when homes sell faster but at lower prices? In Buda, the median days on market dropped to 46 days in September, down 6% from August and 18% from last year, even as the median sale price fell 9.7% to $335,000. This combination signals a shift where buyers are moving quickly but negotiating harder on price.
ALEX Intelligence calculated a Market Heat Score for September by weighing four key factors: days on market, list-to-sale ratio, inventory levels, and the frequency of price cuts. The current data reflects a market where speed is high but price growth has stalled, resulting in a score that indicates a balanced to buyer-leaning environment rather than a seller's advantage.
The data shows that 85% of homes sold below their original list price, up from 77% last year, indicating increased buyer bargaining power. Meanwhile, the months of inventory stands at nearly 5 months, which typically favors buyers seeking choices without immediate pressure to overpay. Despite the lower prices, the median price per square foot rose slightly to $179, suggesting that smaller homes or those in specific subdivisions are holding value better than larger properties.
This heat score is an ALEX Intelligence estimate based on current market velocity and pricing dynamics, not a prediction of future trends. For sellers, the data suggests that listing at a realistic price remains critical to capturing the high volume of activity. For buyers, the faster sales pace means desirable homes still move quickly, but the lower median price offers more entry points than earlier in the year.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and listing activity, September 2026, n=95
Cover photo: Buda Texas.JPG by Liveon001 ©Travis Witt, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov





