Bell County: How List-to-Sale Ratios Shifted in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-11
In September 2026, buyers in Bell County paid an average of 97.6% of their original list price across 94 closed sales. This metric, known as the list-to-sale ratio, measures how close a home sells to its asking price and serves as a key indicator of pricing power in the market.
The median ratio rose slightly to 0.976 from 0.975 in August, marking a 0.1% month-over-month increase. Compared to September 2025, when the ratio stood at 0.961, the current figure represents a 1.6% improvement year-over-year. This suggests that while homes are still selling slightly below their initial list price on average, the gap is narrowing compared to last year.
Currently, 60.6% of closed sales in Bell County occurred below the original list price, down from 69.7% in August and 75.8% a year ago. This decline in the share of discounted sales indicates that sellers are retaining more pricing leverage than they did previously. The median sale price for these transactions was $277,000, with a median price per square foot of $165.
ALEX Intelligence analyzed the relationship between original list prices and final sale prices to track this trend across 94 transactions. As inventory levels adjust and buyer demand fluctuates, this ratio provides a clear view of whether the market is leaning toward buyers or sellers in terms of negotiation outcomes. The data reflects a gradual shift back toward more aggressive pricing strategies by sellers in the region.
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Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
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George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Top 10 Most Active Subdivisions: Bell County
Activity is new listings plus contracts written plus closed sales in the last 120 days (Jun 13 to Oct 11, 2026). A subdivision is ranked when it has at least 5 closed sales; 14 do here. Source: Unlock MLS (ABOR) via Bridge Interactive, as of 2026-10-11.
| # | Subdivision | City | Activity | New listings | Contracts | Closed | Median sale |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Turnbo RanchKilleen | Killeen | 102 | 54 | 26 | 22 | $262,000 |
| 2 | Victory RanchKilleen | Killeen | 73 | 24 | 28 | 21 | $264,000 |
| 3 | Mitchell FarmsKilleen | Killeen | 72 | 34 | 21 | 17 | $261,000 |
| 4 | Sterling MeadowsSalado | Salado | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | $453,000 |
| 5 | Three CreeksBelton | Belton | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | $362,000 |
| 6 | The Ridge At Knob CreekTemple | Temple | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | $218,000 |
| 7 | Eagle HeightsSalado | Salado | 22 | 1 | 11 | 10 | $464,000 |
| 8 | Mill CreekSalado | Salado | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | $588,000 |
| 9 | SkyviewBelton | Belton | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | $310,000 |
| 10 | Flint RidgeSalado | Salado | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | $357,000 |
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales, ABOR-listed sales only, September 2026, n=94
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov