Bastrop Market Balance: 5.9 Months of Inventory in September
By George Arnold Alexander III, MPA · Associate Broker · 2026-10-12
Deal of the Week

This week's 5 best values under $1,000,000, ranked by the ALEX deal score:
1. 116 Flaming Oak DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #8220121
Listed at $159,000, 4 bed, 2 bath, 1,456 sq ft. Listed 10% below the ALEX valuation; 43% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 13% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1172214843/116-Flaming-Oak-DR-Bastrop-TX
2. 502 Martin Luther King Jr DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #3456787
Listed at $165,000, 2 bed, 1 bath, 1,036 sq ft. Listed 12% below the ALEX valuation; 36% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 17% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1182521081/502-Martin-Luther-King-Jr-DR-Bastrop-TX
3. 120 Faldyn ST, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #2716478
Listed at $120,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,692 sq ft. Listed 30% below the ALEX valuation; 63% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 31% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1187495244/120-Faldyn-ST-Bastrop-TX
4. 191 Weaver LN, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #2800514
Listed at $307,998, 4 bed, 2.5 bath, 2,050 sq ft. Listed 9% below the ALEX valuation; 17% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 14% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1169544006/191-Weaver-LN-Bastrop-TX
5. 162 Indian Oak DR, Bastrop TX 78602 · MLS #7845201
Listed at $275,000, 3 bed, 2.5 bath, 1,820 sq ft. Listed 18% below the ALEX valuation; 20% under the local price per sq ft; price reduced 21% from original.
See it on alex.realestate: https://www.alex.realestate/listing-detail/1184791970/162-Indian-Oak-DR-Bastrop-TX
Is a buyer's or seller's market? In Bastrop, the answer is balanced. With 5.9 months of inventory based on 46 closed sales in September, the market sits squarely in neutral territory where neither side holds a distinct advantage. This figure represents the time it would take to sell all current active listings at the current sales pace.
The supply gap has narrowed compared to last year. While 326 homes remain active today, the rate of new closings has stabilized. The median sale price in September was $375,000, which is 8.5% higher than the same month last year but down 6.7% from August. This volatility suggests a market adjusting to current demand rather than swinging wildly between extremes.
Homes are selling slightly slower than before, with the median days on market rising to 58 days, up 1.8% from the prior month. However, this is still 15.9% faster than September of last year when it took 69 days. Sellers are receiving 94.2% of their original list price on average, a ratio that has dipped slightly but remains close to parity.
ALEX Intelligence calculates market balance by dividing active listings by the monthly sales rate. A reading between 4 and 6 months typically indicates a balanced market. In Bastrop, the 5.9-month figure confirms that buyers have choices without facing a desperate shortage, while sellers still see steady activity without the frenzy of a seller's market.
Want to see this home? Call or text George at 713.918.9951 for a private showing.
Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals.
Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog
MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker.
George Arnold Alexander III, MPA
Director, ALEX Companies
Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al.
Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB
Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733
Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456
[email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, September 2026, n=46
Cover photo: Bastrop Texas 7486.jpg by gillfoto, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons; darkened, cropped and text added.
Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B · George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
Texas Real Estate Commission Information About Brokerage Services · TREC Consumer Protection Notice · trec.texas.gov










