Bastrop: Is This a Buyer's or Seller's Market?

Is the Bastrop housing market currently favoring buyers or sellers? The answer lies in the months of inventory metric, which measures how long it would take to sell all current listings at the current sales pace. In September 2026, Bastrop reported 5.96 months of inventory based on 44 closed sales and 326 active listings. This figure places the market in a balanced state. A market is generally considered a seller's market when inventory falls below four months, indicating high demand relative to supply. Conversely, a buyer's market typically emerges when inventory exceeds six months, giving buyers more negotiating power. At nearly six months, Bastrop sits right on the threshold where neither side holds a distinct advantage. The data supports this balance with median closed prices holding steady at $382,500, down 4.8% from August but up 10.7% compared to September 2025. Homes took an average of 62 days to sell, which is slightly longer than the prior month but faster than the same time last year. With 86.4% of homes selling below their original list price, buyers have room to negotiate, yet the pace of sales remains active enough to prevent a significant price drop. ALEX Intelligence classifies this market condition based on the ratio of active listings to monthly closings. For sellers, listing now offers a fair chance at a competitive sale without the urgency of a hot market. For buyers, the current inventory levels provide sufficient choice and time to evaluate properties before making an offer. Curious what your Bastrop home would sell for today? Request a free ALEX Intelligence valuation. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951
Source data: Unlock MLS closed sales and active listings, September 2026, n=44
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Licensed by the Texas Real Estate Commission. Broker: Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC · License #565194-BB.
Diane Hart Alexander, Chair & CEO, ALEX Companies · Designated Broker · #574877-B  ·  George Arnold Alexander III, Director, ALEX Companies · Associate Broker · #574878-B
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