Bastrop Monthly Recap and Outlook: September 2026

What does a 10.7% jump in median price mean for buyers and sellers in Bastrop this month? The data shows that while the market cooled slightly compared to August, it remains significantly stronger than it was a year ago. In September 2026, 44 homes closed at a median price of $382,500, up from $345,529 in September 2025. This represents a 10.7% increase over the same period last year, even as the number of closed sales dropped by 25.4%. The pace of the market has slowed relative to the prior month. Median days on market rose 8.8% to 62 days, and the median price per square foot dipped slightly by 1.0% to $195. Sellers are accepting offers at a lower rate than before; the close-to-original list ratio fell to 0.941, meaning homes sold for roughly 94.1% of their original asking price on average. This is down from 0.952 in August and reflects a market where negotiation remains active. Inventory levels suggest a balanced environment with 6.0 months of supply available today. New construction continues to play a major role, accounting for 19 of the 44 closings this month. While the volume of sales is lower than the peak in August, the price resilience indicates that demand persists at the current price point. The ALEX Intelligence analysis confirms that despite fewer transactions, the value of homes sold has increased compared to last year. Looking ahead, the trend suggests a market stabilizing after a volatile summer. Buyers may find more time to evaluate options as days on market extend, while sellers should anticipate realistic pricing expectations given the current ratio trends. The data indicates a shift from the rapid appreciation seen earlier in the year toward a more measured pace of growth. Thinking of selling in Bastrop? Ask for a free ALEX Intelligence valuation of your home. Data from Unlock MLS. Information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Model outputs are ALEX Intelligence estimates, not appraisals. Read more Central Texas market data on the ALEX blog: https://alex-companies.com/blog MIT, Nvidia, Google & IBM-Trained. Cross Domain-Expert: Quantum, AI, Ethics, Sovereignty, Intelligence, Philanthropy. Solepoint Planning. VUI AI Cloud Architect. AI Certifications Development. Quant/AI Instructor. Castor Venture Club Member. Associate Broker. George Arnold Alexander III, MPA Director, ALEX Companies Associate Broker, Alexander Tiffany Southwest, LLC dba ALEX.realestate, et.al. Texas License #574878-B · Broker License #565194-BB Broker, ALEX Real Estate · North Carolina License #367733 Independent Broker, ALEX Real Estate · Colorado License #II.100112456 [email protected] · +1 713.918.9951